Sitemap - 2023 - Stay-At-Home Macro (SAHM)
The Fed, inflation, and soft landing road show
Wishing you and your family a joyous and merry Christmas!
We are landing this plane, softly.
The Wild Ride Is Not Over: When Will the Fed Cut and Does It Matter?
Most Americans are better off financially now than before the pandemic
Why might this time be different?
Sometimes, the impossible is possible. Ask the US economy.
Circling Back: Gloom, Dots, and GDP
It's what you thought you knew but didn't that breaks your heart: GDP revision edition
Why can't we shake the gloom? It's more than inflation or higher prices.
Labor Day is the end of summer. What if it's the end of the strong labor market, too?
The Star-ry Night in Jackson Hole
What would Frances Perkins do?
How good is the economics in Bidenomics?
Looking local for early signs of trouble
Price-price spirals take us for a spin
Is the Fed data-driven or data-ridden?
Like the debt ceiling can't hold us
Don't build your castle on shifting sands: the Phillips Curve(s) edition
This recovery is worth fighting for
Enjoy a 'snack-size' version of Substack
The Fed should hit pause and give us a chance to catch up
All eyes are on the Fed, now more than ever
Trust is hard to gain but is even harder to regain once lost: the Fed should speak up now
What could Fed Chair Jay Powell say to the 2 million people likely to be unemployed?
Hidden costs in auto loans and discrimination
Can the Fed bring inflation down alone?
The "sufficiently restrictive" Fed. Part 1: The labor market
The Phillips Curve is dying a slow (and not painful for us) death
What's at stake with restoring 'balance' to the labor market?
Retail sales may not be as bad as they look
Fed, you're so vain; you probably think this economy is about you
Transformation from über dove to über hawk
Gloves off. It's sickening. Fight for workers, fight against the Fed #TeamWorkers
We need to restore balance: a recession is not the path to balance
Olivier throws it down: the Fed does not decide what is inflation is, we do