Stay-At-Home Macro (SAHM)

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Without trust, our economy stops. Without trust, there is no banking system. The turmoil of the past week has tested our trust. The Fed should help answer the questions that people have.
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The tale of Silicon Valley Bank and its fallout is still being written, and yet, it’s a story we know all too well. In fact, banking crises are at the heart of the Fed’s origin story. We may talk endlessly about monetary policy. And I can assure you that 25 versus 50 basis points…
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The Fed faces a tough decision on whether to raise interest rates against the backdrop of banks in turmoil and a country with high inflation. The message tomorrow will loom as large as the decision.
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Earlier this week, Senator Elizabeth Warren pushed Fed Chair Jay Powell on what he would say to the two million workers the Fed expects will lose their jobs to get inflation down. It was a testy exchange. Powell’s frustration was fair, as was Warren’s.
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There’s a round-the-clock debate among macroeconomists about how high interest rates need to go to cool off demand and bring inflation down. Rising…
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No, it cannot.
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Markets and macro commentators obsess over every data release and constantly shift their views on recession and inflation risks. So what will this year…
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Fed officials will eventually decide that they have raised interest rates enough. How they make that call is of great importance, and the Fed should…
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What a special day! CPI and Valentine’s Day.
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Yesterday was Fed Day, and tomorrow is Jobs Day. Fighting inflation and fighting for paychecks. It's important to remember what we lose if we lose jobs.
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For over a year, the Fed has barked at us that the labor market is "out of balance." There's more to the story. We do lack balance across the entire…
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Here are the facts: In January 2023, the U.S. economy added 1/2 million jobs. The best way to solve a labor shortage is with labor. That’s as true now…
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Stay-At-Home Macro (SAHM)

My goal is to make economic policy and macroeconomics better.
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