Stay-At-Home Macro (SAHM)

Stay-At-Home Macro (SAHM)

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The Fed's Summary of Economic Projections isn't living up to its promises

Why is growth so good and how do we keep it going?

The reckoning with inflation

Who's afraid of a negative payroll print?

Ones to watch

It's harder to find work and that's unacceptable

Fifty

Labor market conditions.

Looking back to look forward: Jackson Hole preview

Cut

Sahm-thing more on the Sahm rule

Getting back to normal

Inflation, Inflation, Inflation

Anger about the economy is everywhere

Confidence is the name of the Fed game

It's the pandemic, stupid

All good things in moderation: Fed communication needs a reboot

Sticky is not stuck: inflation

The Labor Market Is Strong

No, you didn't invent the Sahm rule and that's ok, we need more tools! - Revised

No, you didn't invent the Sahm rule and that's ok, we need more tools!

Clarification on Connecting the dots: March FOMC edition

Connecting the dots: March FOMC edition

March 11: Past, present, and future

RSVP to the Fed's pool party on July 31

Big fiscal is a big win for Americans

The Fed is only looking to past inflation, and that's a problem.

The "worst possible outcome" for the Fed is an unnecessary recession, not reversing a cut

Lights on the runway for the soft landing

© 2025 Claudia Sahm
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