Discussion about this post

User's avatar
Thomas L. Hutcheson's avatar

I agree about "bad models." But both the models that are being criticized and the criticism itself fail to include Fed policy among the explanatory variables.

Expand full comment
Nick Nolan's avatar

What do think about new average inflation targeting?

Will the U.S Federal Reserve achieve its new average inflation targeting policy goal?

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6418/the-fed-inflation-targeting-policy-is-success/

"This question resolves positive if the annualized core-PCE inflation is between 1.9 - 2.5 percent between 2020-11 and 2023-11."

Expand full comment
3 more comments...

No posts