Welcome to Stay-at-Home Macro!

My goal is to make the world of economic policy and macroeconomics more accessible. No jargon, no inside baseball. Just good analysis. I cover a wide range of topics from inflation and jobs to Child Tax Credit and all things Fed.

About me: I am the founder of Stay-at-Home Macro (SAHM) Consulting. I have worked at the Federal Reserve and the White House and advised Congress.

My claim to ‘fame’ is the Sahm Rule. It’s a reliable indicator of a recession based on the unemployment rate. I developed it as a trigger for automatically sending out relief like stimulus checks in a recession, taking the politics out of it.

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